Argentina captain Lionel Messi has emerged as the frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d’Or following his standout performances at the FIFA World Cup.
The 39-year-old strengthened his case after providing two assists in Argentina’s 2–1 win over England, sending the defending champions into the final against Spain.
Prediction market data indicates Messi currently holds the highest probability of winning the award, narrowly ahead of Spain’s teenage star Lamine Yamal. England captain Harry Kane remains in contention, while France winger Ousmane Dembélé trails the leading pack.
Messi’s form has been a major storyline of the tournament, with the veteran forward delivering decisive contributions as Argentina chase another World Cup title.
The Ballon d’Or, widely regarded as football’s most prestigious individual honor, will be awarded on October 26, 2026.
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